This post is cross-posted at the World HealthCare Blog.

George Halverson, Kaiser Permanente’s CEO gave a keynote earlier today at the World Health Care Congress in Washington DC. The statistics he gave were compelling. The opportunities, also, really interesting. From a consumer perspective, the prescription he wrote was not– heavy on centralized best practice reminiscent of the socialistic economy.

The issues today are pretty clear– we are focusing our resources heavily on the sickest individuals.

  • 1% of the sickest consume 35% of the health spend
  • 10% of the population consumes 80% of the health spend

Even more compelling are the stories of conflicting interests, where an institution such as Virginia Mason is able to significantly reform health costs through better treatment up front (in this case imaging)– only to find a 30% revenue cut putting the institution at a disadvantage in being able to meet payroll and overhead expense.

But these innovations, although they lowered costs and seemingly were good for patients, hurt Virginia Mason’s bottom line. For example, “the big employers saved $100,000 in the first year. But Virginia Mason fell into the red on the average migraine case, instead of breaking even as before.”

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Theo Francis’s article in the WSJ called “Medicare offers overhaul of hospital reimbursing” contains a number of statements that reflect what side of the carrot/stick equation Medicare’s “solutions” for provider quality will fall.

Medicare proposed sweeping changes to the way it reimburses hospitals, outlining a plan that would essentially redistribute cash by reducing payments across the board and then giving providers a chance to “earn back” money by meeting quality-of-care thresholds.

Its not surprising to see individual providers opting away from Medicare patients with reimbursement not tracking to inflation, and with a 10% punitive Medicare reimbursement cut hanging over their heads, and noise about further requirements for installation of EMRs making their economics look even worse.

Unfortunately for hospitals, demographics dictate that a large portion of their patient population and revenue is tied to Medicare, where these unilateral decisions can be made. (Medicine and Economics blog has a great post on government’s difference from corporations and charity being the ability to use force, Covert rationing blog has a great post on how Medicare/insurance contracting is non-negotiable, and therefore monopolistic and potentially illegal)

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